Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 1879.863231 2053.947922 2232.148230 2427.925218 2636.689846 2852.365979 3091.744063
2024-10-13 1595.578396 1850.269934 2122.643103 2434.503412 2780.575691 3151.728881 3578.740426
2024-10-20 1413.635236 1714.519885 2046.950108 2439.209365 2887.063845 3380.113972 3961.551633
2024-10-27 1225.452431 1547.686915 1914.218877 2358.303119 2877.942824 3462.905611 4167.179661
2024-11-03 1160.082972 1513.862645 1925.771684 2435.363479 3043.184563 3739.242187 4590.595792
2024-11-10 1090.046299 1466.727263 1914.910793 2480.109370 3166.075069 3963.810204 4953.326016
2024-11-17 1006.775327 1396.155849 1869.367123 2477.277376 3227.436366 4112.631380 5225.203526
2024-11-24 921.810334 1316.985423 1807.320452 2448.638345 3252.738685 4214.830465 5439.190124
2024-12-01 870.530647 1277.183952 1791.126234 2473.973109 3342.068129 4393.193989 5745.155189
2024-12-08 813.680621 1226.068466 1756.921212 2473.291276 3396.440075 4527.281045 5996.800646
2024-12-15 782.072537 1206.519510 1761.768931 2521.256250 3511.477032 4736.595772 6342.616281
2024-12-22 727.957484 1152.701361 1718.279424 2503.383285 3540.037817 4836.384267 6551.746325
2024-12-29 704.165495 1140.658652 1730.881249 2560.636135 3668.131534 5065.659239 6929.537886
2025-01-05 664.308834 1103.473799 1707.422617 2568.272500 3730.760967 5212.033469 7204.329829
2025-01-12 626.804968 1067.346635 1683.320552 2573.186269 3788.488647 5351.603987 7470.983133
2025-01-19 563.711480 989.503887 1596.974039 2488.859913 3723.434962 5329.043000 7526.819724
2025-01-26 556.050586 994.890202 1628.917548 2569.178524 3881.556539 5599.978308 7965.835746
2025-02-02 538.899730 984.538274 1637.269730 2615.805356 3993.819084 5811.320502 8329.056424
2025-02-09 508.774531 952.110589 1611.737756 2612.854551 4036.917381 5930.530011 8571.858844
2025-02-16 473.441693 909.304617 1568.834691 2583.012243 4041.086678 5996.630950 8744.129951
2025-02-23 455.179255 893.149610 1565.085007 2609.411620 4123.796210 6168.919522 9058.948190
2025-03-02 431.236300 866.210005 1543.644310 2608.701168 4167.461881 6288.076526 9303.288449
2025-03-09 420.988426 861.717334 1556.421654 2658.674952 4283.695345 6507.320565 9684.316979